The wests post-cold war failures in the different regions of the former Soviet bloc should not weaken its resolve to generate democratic states
Today, a quarter-century after the cold wars objective, the west and Russia are again at odds. This time, at least on one side, the dispute is more transparently about geopolitical power , not ideology.
The west has supported in a variety of ways democratic movements in the post-Soviet region, barely concealing its enthusiasm for the various colour revolutions that have replaced longstanding despots with more responsive leaders though not all have turned out to be the committed democrats they pretended to be.
Too many countries of the former Soviet bloc remain under the control of authoritarian leaders, including some, like the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, who have learned how to maintain a more convincing facade of elections than their communist predecessors.
They sell their system of illiberal republic based on the results of pragmatism , not some universal hypothesi of history. These leaders claim they are simply more effective at get things done.
That is certainly true when it is necessary to stirring nationalist sentiment and stifling dissent. They have been less effective, however, in fostering long-term economic growth. Once one of the worlds two superpowers, Russias GDP is now about 40% of Germanys and simply over 50% of Frances. Life expectancy at birth ranks 153rd in the world, just behind Honduras and Kazakhstan.
In words of per capita income, Russia ranks 73 rd( in terms of buying power parity) well below the Soviet Unions former satellites in central and eastern Europe. The country has deindustrialised: the great majority of its exports now come from natural resources. It has not evolved into a normal market economy, but rather into a peculiar kind of crony-state capitalism.
Yes, Russia still punches above its weight in some areas, such as atomic weapon. And it retains veto power at the United Nation. As the recent hacking of the Democratic Party in the United States proves, it has cyber capacities that enable it to be enormously meddlesome in western elections.
There is every reason to believe such intrusions will continue. Given Donald Trumps deep ties with unsavoury Russian characters( themselves closely linked to Putin ), Americans are deeply concerned about potential Russian influences in the US matters that may be clarified by ongoing investigations.
Many had much higher hopes for Russia, and the former Soviet Union more broadly, when the iron curtain fell. After seven decades of communism, the transition to a democratic market economy would not be easy. But, given the obvious advantages of democratic marketplace capitalism to the system that had just fallen apart, it was assumed the economy would prosper and citizens would demand a greater voice.
What went wrong? Who, if anyone, is to blame? Could Russias post-communist transition have been managed better?
We can never answer such questions definitively: history cannot be re-run. But I believe what we are confronting is partly the legacy of the flawed Washington consensus that shaped Russias transition. This frameworks influences were reflected in the tremendous emphasis that reformers placed on privatisation , no matter how it was done, with speed taking precedence over everything else, including creating the institutional infrastructure needed to make a market economy work.
Fifteen years ago, when I wrote Globalization and its Discontents, I argued that this shock therapy approach to economic reform was a dismal failure. But defenders of that doctrine cautioned patience: one could make such judgments merely with a longer-run perspective.
Today, more than 25 years since the onset of transition, those earlier results have been confirmed, and those who argued that private property rights, once made, would give rise to broader demands for the rule of law have been proven incorrect. Russia and many of the other transition countries are lagging further behind the advanced economies than ever. GDP in some transition countries is below its level at the beginning of the transition.
Many in Russia believe the US Treasury pushed Washington consensus policies to weaken their country. The deep corruption of the Harvard University team chosen to help Russia in the process of transition, described in a detailed account published in 2006 by Institutional Investor, reinforced these beliefs.
I believe the rationale was less sinister: flawed notions, even with best available of intentions, can have serious consequences. And the opportunities for self-interested greed offered by Russia were simply too great for some to resist. Clearly, democratisation in Russia involved attempts is targeted at ensuring common prosperity , not policies that led to the creation of an oligarchy.
The wests failings then should not undermine its resolve to work to create democratic states respecting human rights and international law. The US is struggling to prevent the Trump administrations extremism whether its a traveling ban aimed at Muslims, science-denying environmental policies, or threats to ignore international trade commitments from being normalised. But other countries violations of international law, such as Russias actions in Ukraine, cannot be normalised either.
Joseph Stiglitz is a Nobel prizewinner in economics, prof at Columbia University, a former senior vice-president and chief economist of the World Bank, and one-time chair of the US chairwomen council of economic advisers under Bill Clinton.